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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-0 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 21.18% | 26.22% | 52.6% |
| Both teams to score 44.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.4% | 58.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.84% | 79.16% |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.94% | 43.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.66% | 79.35% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.59% | 22.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.07% | 55.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.13% 2-1 @ 5.12% 2-0 @ 3.43% 3-1 @ 1.44% 3-2 @ 1.08% 3-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.02% Total : 21.18% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 9.65% 2-2 @ 3.83% Other @ 0.58% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 14.43% 0-2 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 9.09% 0-3 @ 5.38% 1-3 @ 4.53% 0-4 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.75% Total : 52.59% |