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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 58.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 18.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 58.37% | 23.61% | 18.02% |
| Both teams to score 46.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.17% | 52.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.55% | 74.45% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.14% | 17.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.38% | 48.62% |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.75% | 43.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.5% | 79.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 1-0 @ 13.3% 2-0 @ 11.46% 2-1 @ 9.61% 3-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 5.52% 4-0 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-2 @ 1% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.4% Total : 58.36% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 7.72% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.71% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 6.47% 1-2 @ 4.67% 0-2 @ 2.71% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.73% Total : 18.02% |