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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 43.57%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 27.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 43.57% | 29.22% | 27.21% |
| Both teams to score 41.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.74% | 64.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.63% | 83.37% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% | 29.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.6% | 65.4% |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.42% | 40.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.83% | 77.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 1-0 @ 14.6% 2-0 @ 8.94% 2-1 @ 8.06% 3-0 @ 3.65% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.12% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.43% Total : 43.56% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 11.93% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.21% | 0-1 @ 10.76% 1-2 @ 5.94% 0-2 @ 4.85% 1-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.31% Total : 27.21% |