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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 37.6% | 27.37% | 35.03% |
| Both teams to score 49.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.11% | 55.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23% | 77% |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% | 28.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.44% | 64.55% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.7% | 30.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.52% | 66.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.65% Total : 37.59% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.7% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 7.74% 0-2 @ 6.2% 1-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.3% Total : 35.02% |