League One

League One | Gameweek 45

May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK

The Energy Check County Ground

Swindon
1 - 2
Ipswich

Pitman (71')
Thompson (34'), Grounds (43'), Curran (73')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Norwood (44' pen., 58')
Downes (81')

Coverage of the League One clash between Swindon Town and Ipswich Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Ipswich Town
29.34%	27.13%	43.53%

Both teams to score 48.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.65%

56.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.62%

77.37%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.51%

34.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.79%

71.21%

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.31%

25.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.4%

60.6%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 29.34%

Ipswich Town 43.53%

Draw 27.12%

Swindon Town	Draw	Ipswich Town
1-0 @ 9.43% 2-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 5.02% 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.22% Total : 29.34%	1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.86% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.12%	0-1 @ 12.04% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-2 @ 8.18% 1-3 @ 3.95% 0-3 @ 3.71% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.23% Total : 43.53%

How you voted: Swindon vs Ipswich

Swindon Town

33.3%

Draw

50.0%

Ipswich Town

16.7%

League One

Swindon1 - 2Ipswich

Data Analysis

How you voted: Swindon vs Ipswich

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Swindon
1 - 2
Ipswich