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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 24, 2021 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Swindon Town

MK Dons
5 - 0
Swindon

Grigg (16', 45+2', 46', 49'), Fraser (26' pen.)
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the League One clash between MK Dons and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.45%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawSwindon Town
49.45%24.32%26.24%
Both teams to score 55.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.14%46.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.88%69.12%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81%19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.44%50.56%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11%31.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.66%68.34%
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 49.44%
    Swindon Town 26.24%
    Draw 24.32%
MK DonsDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 9.55%
2-0 @ 8.36%
3-1 @ 5.29%
3-0 @ 4.63%
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 2.19%
4-0 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 49.44%
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 6.06%
2-2 @ 5.46%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 6.93%
1-2 @ 6.57%
0-2 @ 3.96%
1-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 26.24%

Head to Head
Dec 29, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 21
Swindon
1-4
MK Dons
Payne (37')
Hunt (83')
Jerome (4', 40'), Harvie (28'), Poole (77')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 32
MK Dons
2-3
Swindon
Hesketh (60'), Agard (88')
Aneke (37'), Martin (72')
Doughty (34', 73'), Anderson (60')
Vigouroux (93')
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 6
Swindon
1-1
MK Dons
Adebayo (90')
Anderson (56')
Walsh (4')
Cargill (43')
Apr 8, 2017 3pm
Swindon
1-1
MK Dons
Obika (90')
Ince (39'), Colkett (94')
Agard (43' pen.)
Walsh (34'), Lewington (95')
Dec 30, 2016 7.45pm
MK Dons
3-2
Swindon
Agard (9', 26'), Maynard (53')
Norris (36'), Rossi Branco (67')
Norris (52'), Rossi Branco (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
13Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
14Blackpool186572631-523
15Leyton Orient196491920-122
16Stevenage176471316-322
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
18Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
19Bristol Rovers186391726-921
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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