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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (11.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Rochdale |
| 38.27% | 29.16% | 32.57% |
| Both teams to score 44.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.43% | 62.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.84% | 82.15% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% | 31.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.96% | 68.04% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.58% | 35.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.81% | 72.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 12.89% 2-1 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 7.42% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.91% Total : 38.27% | 1-1 @ 13.38% 0-0 @ 11.2% 2-2 @ 4% Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.15% | 0-1 @ 11.62% 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 6.03% 1-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.08% Total : 32.56% |