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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Barrow |
| 35.83% | 27.29% | 36.88% |
| Both teams to score 50% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.49% | 55.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.31% | 76.69% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.39% | 29.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.36% | 65.64% |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.03% | 28.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.14% | 64.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-0 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.45% Total : 35.82% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.58% 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 6.58% 1-3 @ 3.31% 0-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.59% Total : 36.88% |