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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 33.53% | 26.69% | 39.77% |
| Both teams to score 51.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.59% | 53.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.06% | 74.94% |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.97% | 30.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.85% | 66.15% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% | 26.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.55% | 61.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 5.72% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.35% Total : 33.53% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 8.47% 0-2 @ 7.04% 1-3 @ 3.77% 0-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.23% Total : 39.76% |