Sutton United
EFL Trophy | Third Round
Jan 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Knights Community Stadium
Colchester United

Sutton
2 - 1
Colchester

Turner (7' og.), Wilson (52')
Kizzi (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sears (45')
Dobra (34'), Coxe (57'), Sarpong-Wiredu (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Trophy clash between Sutton United and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawColchester United
42.2%27.87%29.93%
Both teams to score 46.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.2%58.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.68%79.32%
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48%27.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97%63.03%
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.65%35.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.89%72.1%
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 42.2%
    Colchester United 29.93%
    Draw 27.87%
Sutton UnitedDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 12.55%
2-1 @ 8.42%
2-0 @ 8.1%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 1.88%
4-1 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 42.2%
1-1 @ 13.05%
0-0 @ 9.73%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.87%
0-1 @ 10.11%
1-2 @ 6.79%
0-2 @ 5.26%
1-3 @ 2.35%
0-3 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 29.93%

How you voted: Sutton vs Colchester

Sutton United
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Colchester United
12.5%
16
rhs 2.0


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