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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 36.3%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 36.07% | 27.63% | 36.3% |
| Both teams to score 48.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.13% | 56.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.21% | 77.79% |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.87% | 30.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.72% | 66.27% |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.01% | 29.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.9% | 66.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 7.83% 2-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.06% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.04% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 10.88% 1-2 @ 7.86% 0-2 @ 6.55% 1-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.37% Total : 36.3% |