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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hartlepool United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 37.49% | 28.31% | 34.2% |
| Both teams to score 46.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.55% | 59.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.18% | 79.82% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.46% | 30.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.23% | 66.77% |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.36% | 32.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.81% | 69.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.82% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 3.1% 3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 1.74% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.27% Total : 37.48% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 9.97% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 11.16% 1-2 @ 7.41% 0-2 @ 6.25% 1-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.65% Total : 34.2% |