Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
