League Two

League Two | Gameweek 40

Apr 2, 2022 at 3pm UK

Mansfield
1 - 0
Northampton

Hawkins (21')
McLaughlin (5'), Hewitt (65'), Stirk (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lewis (75')
Lewis (75')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Port Vale
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Swindon Town	46	23	77
7	Mansfield Town	46	15	77
8	Sutton United	46	16	76

Northampton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Mansfield
Wednesday, May 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Bristol Rovers	46	22	80
4	Northampton Town	46	22	80
5	Port Vale	46	21	78

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 48.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 25.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mansfield Town in this match.

Result
Mansfield Town	Draw	Northampton Town
48.22%	26.43%	25.36%

Both teams to score 47.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.07%

55.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.96%

77.04%

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.77%

23.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.86%

57.14%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.48%

37.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.7%

74.3%

Score Analysis

Mansfield Town 48.21%

Northampton Town 25.36%

Draw 26.42%

Mansfield Town	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 12.72% 2-0 @ 9.29% 2-1 @ 9.1% 3-0 @ 4.52% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-1 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.72% Total : 48.21%	1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 8.72% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.42%	0-1 @ 8.54% 1-2 @ 6.11% 0-2 @ 4.19% 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.69% Total : 25.36%