Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 19.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Mansfield Town win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.