League Two

League Two | Gameweek 45

Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK

Sixfields

Northampton
1 - 1
Exeter

Pinnock (29')
Guthrie (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nombe (71')
Dieng (20'), Sparkes (54'), Brown (68'), Collins (88'), Key (90+4')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Exeter City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Mansfield
Wednesday, May 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Bristol Rovers	46	22	80
4	Northampton Town	46	22	80
5	Port Vale	46	21	78

Exeter City

Last Six:

Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Forest Green Rovers	46	31	84
2	Exeter City	46	24	84
3	Bristol Rovers	46	22	80

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Exeter City
39.96%	28.6%	31.44%

Both teams to score 45.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.1%

60.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.08%

80.92%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.21%

29.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.14%

65.86%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.66%

35.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.9%

72.1%

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 39.95%

Exeter City 31.44%

Draw 28.59%

Northampton Town	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 12.74% 2-1 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 1.69% 4-1 @ 0.98% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.49% Total : 39.95%	1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.52% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.59%	0-1 @ 10.94% 1-2 @ 6.9% 0-2 @ 5.69% 1-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.09% Total : 31.44%