Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.