Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.22%) and 0-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Brentford win it was 2-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.