Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.