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Premier League | Gameweek 5
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Selhurst Park
Brentford logo

Crystal Palace
1 - 1
Brentford

Zaha (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wissa (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawBrentford
46.41% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)25.99%27.6% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.99% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)52.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.52% (-0.004999999999999 -0)74.48% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.25% (0.00099999999999056 0)22.75% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.57% (0.0019999999999953 0)56.43% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66% (-0.012 -0.01)33.99% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)70.67% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 46.41%
    Brentford 27.6%
    Draw 25.99%
Crystal PalaceDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 11.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.15%
2-0 @ 8.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.51%
3-0 @ 4.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 46.41%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 7.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 27.6%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Brentford

Crystal Palace
56.5%
Draw
24.4%
Brentford
19.1%
398
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Aug 2, 2014 3pm