Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Crystal Palace in this match.