League One

League One | Gameweek 4

Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
1 - 2
Lincoln

Brannagan (69' pen.)
Seddon (36'), Taylor (38')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Hopper (21'), Scully (45+1')
Roughan (81'), Sorensen (88'), Eyoma (90+2')

Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Lincoln City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

Last Six:

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, August 13 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Barnsley	3	-1	3
20	Oxford United	3	-1	3
21	Morecambe	3	-3	2

Lincoln City

Last Six:

Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Port Vale	3	-3	4
17	Lincoln City	3	0	3
18	Wycombe Wanderers	3	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Lincoln City
44.23% ( 0.23)	25.95% ( 0.01)	29.82% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 52.5% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.44% (

-0.13)

51.56% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.65% (

-0.12)

73.35% (

0.12)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.78% (

0.05)

23.22% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.88% (

0.07)

57.12% (

-0.07)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.37% (

-0.23)

31.63% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.96% (

-0.27)

68.04% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 44.22%

Lincoln City 29.82%

Draw 25.95%

Oxford United	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 44.22%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.82%