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EFL Cup
Oxford United
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Swansea logo

Oxford Utd
2 - 2
Swansea

Rodriguez (72'), Brannagan (90+3')
McGinty (7'), Browne (65')
FT
(aet)
Fulton (8'), Cullen (25')
Sorinola (76'), Cullen (82')
Oxford Utd win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Oxford United and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

Last Six:
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

Swansea City

Last Six:
Last Game: Swansea 0-3 Blackburn
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship

We say: Oxford United 0-2 Swansea City

 A trip to lower-league opposition is just what the doctor ordered for Swansea as they aim to finally post a first win of the season, with Oxford yet to find a golden touch in front of goal. The U's were indebted to a teenage hero at the weekend and can be expected to put out an experienced side here, but we cannot see Swansea suffering a shock early defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%).

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawSwansea City
41% (3.305 3.31) 25.19% (0.369 0.37) 33.8% (-3.675 -3.68)
Both teams to score 56.6% (-1.808 -1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.05% (-2.124 -2.12)46.95% (2.124 2.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.8% (-2.015 -2.02)69.19% (2.014 2.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.22% (0.738 0.74)22.77% (-0.738 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.53% (1.082 1.08)56.47% (-1.082 -1.08)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.3% (-3.071 -3.07)26.7% (3.07 3.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.04% (-4.238 -4.24)61.96% (4.236 4.24)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 41%
    Swansea City 33.8%
    Draw 25.19%
Oxford UnitedDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9% (0.954 0.95)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.389 0.39)
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.833 0.83)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.281 0.28)
3-0 @ 3.28% (0.473 0.47)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.136 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.197 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 41%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.28 0.28)
0-0 @ 6.08% (0.525 0.53)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.255 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.526 -0.53)
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.48 -0.48)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.572 -0.57)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.359 -0.36)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.446 -0.45)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.312 -0.31)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 33.8%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Swansea

Oxford United
38.9%
Swansea City
61.1%
18
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2016 12pm
Oxford Utd
3-2
Swansea
Sercombe (45' pen.), Roofe (49', 59')
Montero (23'), Gomis (66')
Grimes (39'), Amat (46'), Tabanou (52'), Shelvey (56')
> Match Report
Apr 15, 2005 3pm
Swansea
1-0
Oxford Utd
O'Leary (44')
Martinez (81')

Quinn (16'), Mackay (27'), Corbo (56')
Corbo (70')
Dec 8, 2004 3pm
Oxford Utd
0-1
Swansea

Robinson (4'), Ashton (50')
Ashton (60')
Goodfellow (61')
Gueret (36'), Monk (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205
> Premier League Full Table


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