League One

League One | Gameweek 5

Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
1 - 1
Morecambe

Joseph (56')
Rodriguez (89'), Brown (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Weir (48')
Stockton (51'), Fane (70'), Rawson (79'), Connolly (89+1')

Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

Last Six:

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Lincoln
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Port Vale	4	-4	4
19	Oxford United	4	-2	3
20	Wycombe Wanderers	4	-3	3

Morecambe

Last Six:

Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
21	MK Dons	4	-4	3
22	Morecambe	4	-4	2
23	Cheltenham Town	4	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 63.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 14.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Morecambe
63.21% ( 3.57)	21.83% ( -0.96)	14.96% ( -2.61)

Both teams to score 45.61% (

-2.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.18% (

-0.52)

50.82% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.29% (

-0.46)

72.7% (

0.46)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.51% (

1.01)

15.49% (

-1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.63% (

1.86)

44.37% (

-1.86)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.96% (

-3.73)

46.03% (

3.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.25% (

-3.05)

81.75% (

3.06)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 63.2%

Morecambe 14.96%

Draw 21.83%

Oxford United	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 13.29% ( 0.72) 2-0 @ 12.4% ( 1.08) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.91) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.53) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.2) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.02% Total : 63.2%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.51) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.46) Other @ 0.66% Total : 21.83%	0-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.48) 1-2 @ 4% ( -0.65) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.44) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.24) Other @ 1.28% Total : 14.96%