Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 4

Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
4 - 2
Crystal Palace

Silva (53'), Braut Haaland (62', 70', 81')
Foden (86')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Stones (4' og.), Andersen (21')
Mateta (86'), Guehi (88')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

Last Six:

Last Game: Barcelona 3-3 Man City
Wednesday, August 24 at 8.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Arsenal	3	7	9
2	Manchester City	3	6	7
3	Leeds United	3	4	7

Crystal Palace

Last Six:

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-2 Crystal Palace
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Brentford	3	3	4
9	Crystal Palace	3	0	4
10	Nottingham Forest	3	-1	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.03%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 6.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.81%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-2 (2.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Crystal Palace
81.03% ( -0.06)	12.36% ( 0.01)	6.61% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 47.81% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.73% (

0.19)

31.27% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.29% (

0.22)

52.71% (

-0.22)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.13% (

0.03)

5.87% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.48% (

0.08)

22.51% (

-0.07)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.8% (

0.3)

49.2% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.9% (

0.21)

84.1% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Manchester City 81.02%

Crystal Palace 6.61%

Draw 12.36%

Manchester City	Draw	Crystal Palace
2-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 2.08% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.03% Total : 81.02%	1-1 @ 5.81% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.74% Total : 12.36%	1-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 6.61%