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Bernardo Silva
53'
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Erling Braut Haaland
62'
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Erling Braut Haaland
70'
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Erling Braut Haaland
81'
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Phil Foden
86'
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John Stones
4'
(OG)
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Joachim Andersen
21'
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Jean-Philippe Mateta
86'
-
Marc Guehi
88'
Manchester City vs Crystal Palace - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.03%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 6.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.81%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-2 (2.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Manchester City Goals
Crystal Palace Goals
Score analysis
3-0 @ 10.97% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.23% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 7.78% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.04)
6-0 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.03)
6-1 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 81.02%
2-2 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 12.36%
0-1 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 6.61%
Head to Head
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Cheikhou Kouyate
44'
-
Conor Gallagher
83'
-
Odsonne Edouard
90'
-
Jack Grealish
54'
-
Aymeric Laporte
45'+2'
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Bernardo Silva
45'+5'
-
Ederson
45'+6'
-
Wilfried Zaha
6'
-
Jordan Ayew
27'
-
Conor Gallagher
65'
-
Vicente Guaita
86'
-
Conor Gallagher
88'
-
Luka Milivojevic
49'
-
Cheikhou Kouyate
81'
-
Sergio Aguero
57'
-
Ferran Torres
59'
-
John Stones
26'
-
Ilkay Gundogan
56'
-
John Stones
68'
-
Raheem Sterling
88'
-
Benjamin Mendy
58'
-
Sergio Aguero
82'
-
Sergio Aguero
87'
-
James McCarthy
13'
-
Jordan Ayew
26'
-
Cenk Tosun
39'
-
Fernandinho
90'
(OG)
-
Luka Milivojevic
13'
-
Gabriel Jesus
39'
-
David Silva
41'
-
Raheem Sterling
46'