/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnewlog.png)
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-
Bruno Guimaraes
8'
-
Miguel Almiron
28'
-
Fabian Schar
34'
-
Callum Wilson
39'
-
Kieran Trippier
54'
-
Kieran Trippier
76'
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Joelinton
90'+2'
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Ilkay Gundogan
5'
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Joao Cancelo
18'
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John Stones
52'
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Erling Braut Haaland
60'
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Bernardo Silva
64'
Newcastle United vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 67.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 13.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.25%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result
Newcastle United
13.03%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
19.17%
▲
(+0.01)
Manchester City
67.8%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
48.91%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.34%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
43.66%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
33.95%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
66.05%
▲
(+0.02)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5
55.5%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
44.5%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
19.47%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
80.53%
▼
(-0.01)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5
88.13%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
11.87%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
62.83%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
37.17%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Newcastle United
13.03%
Draw
19.17%
Manchester City
67.79%
Newcastle United
1-0
@
4.28%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 13.03%
2-1 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 13.03%
Draw
1-1
@
9.12%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 19.17%
0-0 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 19.17%
Manchester City
0-2
@
11.99%
0-1 @ 11.25%
1-2 @ 9.71% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 8.52% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.79%
0-5 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 67.79%
0-1 @ 11.25%
1-2 @ 9.71% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 8.52% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.79%
0-5 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 67.79%
Head to Head
Form Data
Build-up
News