/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmcilog.png)
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
29'
-
Frenkie de Jong
66'
-
Memphis Depay
79'
-
Julian Alvarez
21'
-
Cole Palmer
70'
-
Cole Palmer
74'
-
Riyad Mahrez
90'+9'
Barcelona vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F32%2Fxavi.jpeg)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F32%2Fjack-grealish.jpeg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Barcelona
35.12%
▲
(+2.69)
Draw
23.13%
▲
(+0.04)
Manchester City
41.74%
▼
(-2.72)
Both Teams to Score:
64.44%
▲
(+0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.13%
▲
(+0.68)
Under 2.5
36.87%
▼
(-0.68)
Over 3.5
40.95%
▲
(+0.73)
Under 3.5
59.05%
▼
(-0.73)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5
78.75%
▲
(+1.77)
Under 0.5
21.25%
▼
(-1.77)
Over 1.5
45.84%
▲
(+2.67)
Under 1.5
54.16%
▼
(-2.66)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5
81.83%
▼
(-0.84)
Under 0.5
18.18%
▲
(+0.84)
Over 1.5
50.84%
▼
(-1.45)
Under 1.5
49.16%
▲
(+1.45)
Score analysis
Barcelona
35.12%
Draw
23.13%
Manchester City
41.74%
Barcelona
2-1
@
7.9%
▲
(+0.36)
1-0 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.33)
3-1 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.39)
3-2 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.24)
3-0 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.29)
4-1 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.23)
4-2 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 35.12%
1-0 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.33)
3-1 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.39)
3-2 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.24)
3-0 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.29)
4-1 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.23)
4-2 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 35.12%
Draw
1-1
@
10.19%
▼
(-0.09)
2-2 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.13%
2-2 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.13%
Manchester City
1-2
@
8.7%
▼
(-0.31)
0-1 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.41)
0-2 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.52)
1-3 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.32)
2-3 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.39)
1-4 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.20)
2-4 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.06)
0-4 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 41.74%
0-1 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.41)
0-2 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.52)
1-3 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.32)
2-3 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.39)
1-4 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.20)
2-4 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.06)
0-4 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 41.74%
