Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 6

Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
5 - 2
Leeds

Toney (30' pen., 43', 58'), Mbeumo (80'), Wissa (90+1')
Damsgaard (90+5'), Hickey (90+7')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Sinisterra (45+1'), Roca (79')
Sinisterra (28'), Klich (90+7')
Marsch (64')

Reaction

Brentford's Ivan Toney celebrates scoring their second goal on September 3, 2022

Ivan Toney hits hat-trick as Brentford beat Leeds United in seven-goal thriller

Ivan Toney scores a hat-trick as Brentford thrash Leeds United 5-2 in their Premier League clash at the Brentford Community Stadium.

Sep 3, 15:59

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

Last Six:

Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-1 Brentford
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Chelsea	5	-2	7
11	Brentford	5	3	6
12	Newcastle United	5	1	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Leeds United
45.94% ( -0.04)	25.67% ( -0.16)	28.39% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 52.52% (

0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.87% (

0.77)

51.13% (

-0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.02% (

0.67)

72.98% (

-0.67)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.77% (

0.31)

22.23% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.34% (

0.46)

55.66% (

-0.46)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.54% (

0.56)

32.46% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.01% (

0.63)

68.99% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

Brentford 45.93%

Leeds United 28.39%

Draw 25.67%

Brentford	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.23% Total : 45.93%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.39%