Arsenal logo
Aston Villa logo
Bournemouth logo
Brentford logo
Brighton logo
Burnley logo
Chelsea logo
Crystal Palace logo
Everton logo
Fulham logo
Leeds logo
Liverpool logo
Manchester City logo
Manchester United logo
Newcastle logo
Nottingham Forest logo
Sunderland
Spurs logo
West Ham logo
Wolves logo
Leeds logo
Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 2, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Elland Road
Aston Villa logo

Leeds
0 - 0
Aston Villa

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 5-2 Leeds
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawAston Villa
42.7% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)25.37% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)31.93% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.74% (0.024999999999999 0.02)48.26% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.59% (0.023 0.02)70.41% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.47%22.52% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.9% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)56.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48% (0.031999999999996 0.03)28.52% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7% (0.040000000000006 0.04)64.29% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 42.7%
    Aston Villa 31.93%
    Draw 25.36%
Leeds UnitedDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.55% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.7%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 31.93%

How you voted: Leeds vs Aston Villa

Leeds United
60.1%
Draw
17.8%
Aston Villa
22.0%
286
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2022 5.35am
Aston Villa
1-0
Leeds
Ings (63' pen.)
McGinn (70')

Gray (67')
Mar 10, 2022 7.45pm
Leeds
0-3
Aston Villa

Koch (45+1'), Gelhardt (67'), Firpo (81'), James (86'), Raphinha (90+2')
Coutinho (22'), Cash (65'), Chambers (73')
Watkins (17'), Mings (47'), Luiz (62')
Feb 9, 2022 8pm
Aston Villa
3-3
Leeds
Coutinho (30'), Ramsey (38', 43')
Konsa (70'), Cash (90')
Konsa (87')
James (9', 45+2'), Llorente (63')
Dallas (45'), James (80'), Rodrigo (90+7')
Feb 27, 2021 5.30pm
Oct 23, 2020 8pm
Aston Villa
0-3
Leeds

Mings (53'), Grealish (69')
Bamford (55', 67', 74')
Struijk (10'), Klich (90+1')