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The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League fixture with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Aston Villa 0-3 Manchester City

Villa arguably should not have been in with a chance of stealing a point off of Arsenal in midweek, but credit where credit is due to some of their last-ditch defending efforts, and they did come out fighting in the second period. However, such small positives are unlikely to count for much against the rampant champions, who will seek to further increase the pressure on the under-fire Gerrard with a straightforward success on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 17.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.78%) and 0-1 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawManchester City
17.84% (2.691 2.69) 19.47% (0.839 0.84) 62.69% (-3.528 -3.53)
Both teams to score 59.96% (3.201 3.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.99% (1.276 1.28)35.01% (-1.275 -1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43% (1.41 1.41)57% (-1.409 -1.41)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.15% (3.95 3.95)32.85% (-3.948 -3.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.58% (4.168 4.17)69.42% (-4.166 -4.17)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.29% (-0.515 -0.52)10.71% (0.517 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.36% (-1.167 -1.17)34.64% (1.169 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 17.84%
    Manchester City 62.69%
    Draw 19.47%
Aston VillaDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 4.87% (0.59 0.59)
1-0 @ 3.92% (0.167 0.17)
2-0 @ 2.18% (0.306 0.31)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.39 0.39)
3-1 @ 1.81% (0.381 0.38)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 17.84%
1-1 @ 8.75% (0.188 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.554 0.55)
0-0 @ 3.52% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.264 0.26)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.47%
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 8.78% (-0.999 -1)
0-1 @ 7.86% (-0.704 -0.7)
1-3 @ 7.28% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-3 @ 6.54% (-0.906 -0.91)
1-4 @ 4.06% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-3 @ 4.05% (0.331 0.33)
0-4 @ 3.65% (-0.598 -0.6)
2-4 @ 2.26% (0.139 0.14)
1-5 @ 1.82% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-5 @ 1.63% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-5 @ 1.01% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 62.69%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Man City

Aston Villa
8.4%
Draw
6.4%
Manchester City
85.2%
344
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 4pm
Man City
3-2
Aston Villa
Gundogan (76', 81'), Rodri (78')
Cash (37'), Coutinho (69')
Mings (49'), Nakamba (87')
Dec 1, 2021 8.15pm
Apr 21, 2021 8.15pm
Aston Villa
1-2
Man City
McGinn (1')
Cash (54')
Cash (57')
Foden (22'), Rodri (40')
Gundogan (44')
Stones (44')
Jan 20, 2021 6pm
Man City
2-0
Aston Villa
Silva (79'), Gundogan (90' pen.)

McGinn (67'), Smith (81'), Taylor (86')
Smith (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Chiefs
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6pm
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Jags
6pm
Cowboys
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9.25pm
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Bills
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Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City158342721627
6Aston Villa167452425-125
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Fulham166642422224
10Brentford157263128323
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton153661421-715
16Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1512121131-205


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