Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 5

Aug 31, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
6 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Braut Haaland (12', 23', 38'), Cancelo (50'), Alvarez (65', 87')

FT(HT: 3-0)

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The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

Last Six:

Last Game: Man City 4-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Arsenal	4	8	12
2	Manchester City	4	8	10
3	Tottenham Hotspur	4	6	10

Nottingham Forest

Last Six:

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 0-2 Spurs
Sunday, August 28 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Crystal Palace	5	-2	5
14	Nottingham Forest	4	-3	4
15	Everton	5	-2	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.35%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 5.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.09%) and 1-0 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Nottingham Forest
81.35% ( -0.04)	12.7% ( 0.27)	5.95% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 41.94% (

-2.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.65% (

-2.54)

36.35% (

2.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.52% (

-2.84)

58.48% (

2.84)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.16% (

-0.53)

6.84% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.8% (

-1.45)

25.2% (

1.45)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.02% (

-2.58)

54.98% (

2.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.13% (

-1.61)

87.87% (

1.61)

Score Analysis

Manchester City 81.34%

Nottingham Forest 5.95%

Draw 12.7%

Manchester City	Draw	Nottingham Forest
2-0 @ 13.53% ( 0.91) 3-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.47) 1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.95) 4-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.34) 5-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.26) 6-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.23) 6-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.66% Total : 81.34%	1-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.48% Total : 12.7%	0-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.9% Total : 5.95%