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Erling Braut Haaland
12'
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Erling Braut Haaland
23'
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Erling Braut Haaland
38'
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Joao Cancelo
50'
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Julian Alvarez
65'
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Julian Alvarez
87'
Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.35%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 5.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.09%) and 1-0 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Manchester City Goals
Nottingham Forest Goals
Score analysis
3-0 @ 12.09% ▲ (+0.48)
1-0 @ 10.09% ▲ (+0.96)
4-0 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.1% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.28)
4-1 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.34)
5-0 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.09)
5-1 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.27)
3-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.27)
6-0 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.23)
6-1 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 81.34%
0-0 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.46)
2-2 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 12.7%
1-2 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 5.95%
Head to Head
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Uwe Rosler
16'
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Kevin Campbell
69'
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Stuart Pearce
80'
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Jason Lee
10'
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Steve Stone
31'
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Jason Lee
33'
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Jason Lee
46'
-
Andrea Silenzi
80'
-
Steve Stone
82'
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John Foster
4'
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Uwe Rosler
11'
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Michael Brown
12'
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Ian Brightwell
40'
-
Ian Brightwell
41'
-
Keith Curle
88'
-
Stan Collymore
18'
-
Niall Quinn
41'
-
Niall Quinn
54'
-
Steve Lomas
59'
-
Steve Lomas
90'
-
Stan Collymore
22'
-
Scot Gemmill
28'
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Kingsley Black
31'
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Andy Dibble
51'
(OG)
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Stuart Pearce
56'
-
David White
19'
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Garry Flitcroft
89'
-
Rick Holden
17'
-
Keith Curle
38'
-
Fitzroy Simpson
64'
-
Fitzroy Simpson
69'
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Brian Laws
55'
-
Ray McKinnon
56'
-
Stuart Pearce
83'