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Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2022 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Southampton logo

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Southampton

Ramsey (41')
Coutinho (45+4'), Ramsey (58'), Young (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Man City
Saturday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Premier League

We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Southampton

There is not a huge difference between these two teams in terms of quality, and we are expecting an even game on Friday night. Both managers would likely be content with a draw if it were offered ahead of kickoff, and we can see a stalemate taking place here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aston Villa in this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawSouthampton
40.48% (-0.206 -0.21) 26.29% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 33.22% (0.161 0.16)
Both teams to score 52.77% (-0.105 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.17% (-0.153 -0.15)51.83% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.41% (-0.132 -0.13)73.58% (0.134 0.13)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (-0.178 -0.18)25.21% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05% (-0.247 -0.25)59.95% (0.249 0.25)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.56% (0.028000000000006 0.03)29.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.56% (0.033999999999999 0.03)65.44% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 40.47%
    Southampton 33.22%
    Draw 26.29%
Aston VillaDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 10.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.05% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 40.47%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.42% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 33.22%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Southampton

Aston Villa
54.1%
Draw
26.1%
Southampton
19.9%
357
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Aston Villa
4-0
Southampton
Watkins (9'), Luiz (44'), Coutinho (52'), Ings (54')
Watkins (74')

Romeu (68')
Nov 5, 2021 8pm
Nov 1, 2020 12pm
Aston Villa
3-4
Southampton
Mings (62'), Watkins (90+3' pen.), Grealish (90+7')
Cash (43')
Vestergaard (20'), Ward-Prowse (33', 45'), Ings (58')
Ward-Prowse (12'), Diallo (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Aston Villa167452425-125
7Bournemouth157352320324
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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