Premier League
Gameweek
8
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fastlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fsoulog.png)
-
Jacob Ramsey
41'
Aston Villa vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F37%2Fsteven-gerrard.jpeg)
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F35%2Fsteven-gerrard_1.JPG)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aston Villa in this match.
Result
Aston Villa
40.48%
▼
(-0.21)
Draw
26.29%
▲
(+0.05)
Southampton
33.22%
▲
(+0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
52.77%
▼
(-0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.17%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 2.5
51.83%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 3.5
26.41%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 3.5
73.58%
▲
(+0.14)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5
74.79%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 0.5
25.21%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 1.5
40.05%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 1.5
59.95%
▲
(+0.25)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5
70.56%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
29.44%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
34.56%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
65.44%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Aston Villa
40.47%
Draw
26.29%
Southampton
33.22%
Aston Villa
1-0
@
10.22%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 40.47%
2-1 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 40.47%
Draw
1-1
@
12.5%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 26.29%
0-0 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 26.29%
Southampton
0-1
@
9.08%
▲
(+0.07)
1-2 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 33.22%
1-2 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 33.22%
Head to Head
Premier League
Gameweek
28
-
Ollie Watkins
9'
-
Douglas Luiz
44'
-
Philippe Coutinho
52'
-
Danny Ings
54'
-
Ollie Watkins
74'
-
Oriol Romeu
68'
Premier League
Gameweek
11
-
Adam Armstrong
3'
-
Oriol Romeu
62'
-
Mohammed Salisu
90'+1'
-
Anwar El Ghazi
11'
-
Axel Tuanzebe
65'
Premier League
Gameweek
21
-
James Ward-Prowse
53'
-
Ross Barkley
41'
Premier League
Gameweek
7
-
Matty Cash
43'
-
Tyrone Mings
62'
-
Ollie Watkins
90'+3'
-
Jack Grealish
90'+7'
-
James Ward-Prowse
12'
-
Jannik Vestergaard
20'
-
James Ward-Prowse
33'
-
James Ward-Prowse
45'
-
Danny Ings
58'
-
Ibrahima Diallo
90'+2'
Premier League
Gameweek
27
-
Shane Long
8'
-
Stuart Armstrong
90'
-
Stuart Armstrong
90'
-
Ezri Konsa
45'
-
Pepe Reina
72'
-
Frederic Guilbert
90'
-
Jack Grealish
90'
Premier League
Gameweek
18
-
Anwar El Ghazi
67'
-
Jack Grealish
75'
-
Jonathan Kodjia
87'
-
Danny Ings
21'
-
Jack Stephens
31'
-
James Ward-Prowse
44'
-
Danny Ings
51'
Form Data
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F33%2Fralph-hasenhuttl.jpeg)