Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 5

Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
2 - 1
Chelsea

Lavia (28'), Armstrong (45+1')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Sterling (23')

Reaction

Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel in the dugout against Southampton on August 30, 2022.

Thomas Tuchel: 'It is too easy to confuse Chelsea'

Thomas Tuchel says that it is becoming "too easy" to confuse his Chelsea side as they suffered a 2-1 defeat at Southampton in the Premier League on Tuesday evening.

Aug 30, 21:20

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

Last Six:

Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Man Utd
Saturday, August 27 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Crystal Palace	4	-2	4
13	Southampton	4	-3	4
14	Nottingham Forest	4	-3	4

Chelsea

Last Six:

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Leicester
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Leeds United	4	3	7
6	Chelsea	4	-1	7
7	Newcastle United	4	2	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 68.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 13.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Chelsea
13.52% ( 0.04)	18.34% ( 0.06)	68.15% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 53.31% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.4% (

-0.18)

38.6% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.1% (

-0.19)

60.9% (

0.19)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.47% (

-0.05)

40.53% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.87% (

-0.05)

77.13% (

0.05)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.65% (

-0.07)

10.35% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.16% (

-0.17)

33.84% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Southampton 13.52%

Chelsea 68.15%

Draw 18.34%

Southampton	Draw	Chelsea
2-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 1.64% Total : 13.52%	1-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.34%	0-2 @ 10.79% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 7.37% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 4.62% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 4.18% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.57% Total : 68.15%