EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Second Round

Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Abbey Stadium

Cambridge
0 - 3
Southampton

FT(HT: 0-1)

Adams (16', 55'), Ballard (88')
Romeu (69'), Lyanco (86'), Djenepo (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Cambridge United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

Last Six:

Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Cambridge
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Exeter City	5	4	7
10	Cambridge United	5	-2	7
11	Port Vale	5	-2	7

Southampton

Last Six:

Last Game: Leicester 1-2 Southampton
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Nottingham Forest	3	-1	4
11	Southampton	3	-2	4
12	Chelsea	3	-2	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Southampton in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Southampton.

Result
Cambridge United	Draw	Southampton
24.34% ( 0.01)	22.86% ( 0.01)	52.79% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 58.1% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.91% (

-0.05)

42.08% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.51% (

-0.05)

64.48% (

0.04)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.14% (

-0.02)

30.86% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.86% (

-0.02)

67.14% (

0.01)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.03% (

-0.03)

15.96% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.74% (

-0.05)

45.25% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Cambridge United 24.34%

Southampton 52.79%

Draw 22.85%

Cambridge United	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 6.25% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.41% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 24.34%	1-1 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.85%	1-2 @ 9.75% 0-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.29% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.96% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.07% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.33% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 52.79%