MX23RW : Friday, March 29 11:39:58| >> :600:2399174:2399174:
Cambridge United
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Millwall logo

Cambridge
1 - 0
Millwall

O'Neil (59')
Janneh (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Honeyman (31')
Honeyman (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Cambridge United and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cambridge United 1-1 Millwall

With both managers likely to rotate as they prioritise their league campaigns, we expect to see a fairly even cup tie. As such, it would be no surprise to see penalties decide the match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawMillwall
31.87% (2.179 2.18) 25.16% (0.477 0.48) 42.97% (-2.656 -2.66)
Both teams to score 56.05% (-0.501 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.62% (-1.15 -1.15)47.37% (1.15 1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.4% (-1.075 -1.08)69.59% (1.076 1.08)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (0.883 0.88)28.12% (-0.883 -0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.2% (1.108 1.11)63.79% (-1.108 -1.11)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98% (-1.677 -1.68)22.02% (1.678 1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.66% (-2.607 -2.61)55.34% (2.607 2.61)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 31.87%
    Millwall 42.97%
    Draw 25.15%
Cambridge UnitedDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.553 0.55)
2-1 @ 7.54% (0.344 0.34)
2-0 @ 4.98% (0.464 0.46)
3-1 @ 3.19% (0.219 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.11% (0.242 0.24)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.87%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 6.19% (0.292 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 9.37% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.99% (-0.266 -0.27)
0-2 @ 7.09% (-0.392 -0.39)
1-3 @ 4.54% (-0.379 -0.38)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.395 -0.4)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.164 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.228 -0.23)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 42.97%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Millwall

Cambridge United
10.8%
Draw
24.3%
Millwall
64.9%
74
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Jul 21, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
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