Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 37.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.03%) and 0-1 (4.98%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.