Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.2%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.