Eredivisie | Gameweek 10

Oct 16, 2022 at 1.30pm UK

Philips Stadium

PSV
6 - 1
Utrecht

Simons (8', 60'), Til (33', 38'), El Ghazi (86', 89')

FT(HT: 3-1)

van de Streek (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PSV 5-0 FC Zurich
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Utrecht 1-2 AZ
Sunday, October 9 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.2%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	FC Utrecht
66.2% ( 3.24)	17.49% ( -0.45)	16.31% ( -2.79)

Both teams to score 64.36% (

-4.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.99% (

-2.95)

28.01% (

2.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.24% (

-3.75)

48.75% (

3.75)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.03% (

-0.14)

7.97% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.87% (

-0.34)

28.12% (

0.33)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.93% (

-4.64)

30.06% (

4.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.8% (

-5.96)

66.19% (

5.95)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 66.2%

FC Utrecht 16.31%

Draw 17.49%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 7.66% ( 1.21) 3-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.98) 1-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.99) 4-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.47) 4-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.6) 4-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.32) 5-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.29) 5-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.17) 4-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.31) 6-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.13% Total : 66.2%	1-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.52) 0-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.4) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.48) Other @ 0.4% Total : 17.49%	1-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.38) 0-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.55) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.36% Total : 16.31%