Eredivisie | Gameweek 8

Oct 2, 2022 at 1.30pm UK

Excelsior
0 - 1
Utrecht

FT(HT: 0-1)

van de Streek (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 1-0 SBV Excelsior
Saturday, September 17 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Utrecht 0-0 NEC
Friday, September 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	FC Utrecht
27.67% ( 0.22)	23.19% ( 0.09)	49.13% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 60.26% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.29% (

-0.25)

40.7% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.91% (

-0.26)

63.09% (

0.25)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.4% (

0.03)

27.59% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.87% (

0.04)

63.12% (

-0.04)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.22% (

-0.21)

16.77% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.28% (

-0.38)

46.71% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 27.67%

FC Utrecht 49.13%

Draw 23.18%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.62% 3-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 27.67%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.18%	1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.65% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.3% Total : 49.13%