Eredivisie | Gameweek 7

Sep 17, 2022 at 8pm UK

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Sittard
1 - 0
SBV Excelsior

Vita (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

Last Six:

Last Game: NEC 1-1 Sittard
Saturday, September 10 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	FC Volendam	6	-13	4
17	Go Ahead Eagles	6	-7	3
18	Fortuna Sittard	6	-9	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	SBV Excelsior
42.36% ( 0.24)	25.38% ( -1)	32.25% ( 0.76)

Both teams to score 55.45% (

3.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.77% (

4.44)

48.23% (

-4.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.62% (

3.93)

70.38% (

-3.93)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.33% (

2.07)

22.67% (

-2.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.68% (

2.98)

56.32% (

-2.97)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.7% (

2.73)

28.3% (

-2.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.98% (

3.31)

64.02% (

-3.31)

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 42.37%

SBV Excelsior 32.25%

Draw 25.37%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	SBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 9.52% ( -1.19) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.33) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.4) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.37%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.53) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -1.26) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.5) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.37%	0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.88) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.33) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.37) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.25%