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Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
 
Emmen

SBV Excelsior
2 - 1
Emmen

Tjoe-A-On (61'), Seymor (90+4')
Fein (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Romeny (45')
Mendes (24'), Vlak (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Emmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 5-2 SBV Excelsior
Sunday, September 4 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Emmen 0-3 AZ
Sunday, September 4 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 0-1 Emmen

There is little to choose between the sides in this one, and Saturday's meeting could easily swing either way. That said, we are backing the visitors to just about see off the threat of their hosts and get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawEmmen
39.57% (-0.454 -0.45) 26.53% (-0.148 -0.15) 33.9% (0.605 0.61)
Both teams to score 52.16% (0.612 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.32% (0.715 0.71)52.68% (-0.712 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.68% (0.609 0.61)74.32% (-0.60600000000001 -0.61)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91% (0.084999999999994 0.08)26.09% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86% (0.113 0.11)61.14% (-0.111 -0.11)
Emmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57% (0.747 0.75)29.43% (-0.744 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.57% (0.90300000000001 0.9)65.42% (-0.89999999999999 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 39.57%
    Emmen 33.9%
    Draw 26.52%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawEmmen
1-0 @ 10.31% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.93% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-1 @ 3.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 39.57%
1-1 @ 12.61% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 9.39% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.72% (0.119 0.12)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.112 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.08 0.08)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.9%

How you voted: SBV Excelsior vs Emmen

SBV Excelsior
61.9%
Draw
19.0%
Emmen
19.0%
21
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3.30pm
SBV Excelsior
0-1
Emmen

El Yaakoubi (74'), Azarkan (83')
Veldmate (73' pen.)
Luzayadio (41'), Veendorp (59')
Oct 9, 2021 5.45pm
Emmen
0-1
SBV Excelsior

(86'), Hilterman (90+4')
Dallinga (32')
Aberkane (48'), Chacon (79'), Niemeijer (90+4')
Feb 17, 2019 1.30pm
SBV Excelsior
2-1
Emmen
Edwards (62'), Eckert (65')
De Leeuw (59')
Nov 25, 2018 11.15am
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Feyenoord16105140182235
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1511222920935
4Ajax15103232161633
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
8NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
9Go Ahead Eagles156362523221
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen155192119216
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276


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