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Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
 
Emmen

SBV Excelsior
2 - 1
Emmen

Tjoe-A-On (61'), Seymor (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Romeny (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Emmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

Last Six:
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 5-2 SBV Excelsior
Sunday, September 4 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Emmen

Last Six:
Last Game: Emmen 0-3 AZ
Sunday, September 4 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawEmmen
39.57% (-0.454 -0.45)26.53% (-0.148 -0.15)33.9% (0.605 0.61)
Both teams to score 52.16% (0.612 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.32% (0.715 0.71)52.68% (-0.712 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.68% (0.609 0.61)74.32% (-0.60600000000001 -0.61)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91% (0.084999999999994 0.08)26.09% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86% (0.113 0.11)61.14% (-0.111 -0.11)
Emmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57% (0.747 0.75)29.43% (-0.744 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.57% (0.90300000000001 0.9)65.42% (-0.89999999999999 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 39.57%
    Emmen 33.9%
    Draw 26.52%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawEmmen
1-0 @ 10.31% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.93% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-1 @ 3.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 39.57%
1-1 @ 12.61% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 9.39% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.72% (0.119 0.12)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.112 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.08 0.08)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.9%

How you voted: SBV Excelsior vs Emmen

SBV Excelsior
61.9%
Draw
19.0%
Emmen
19.0%
21
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3.30pm
SBV Excelsior
0-1
Emmen

El Yaakoubi (74'), Azarkan (83')
Veldmate (73' pen.)
Luzayadio (41'), Veendorp (59')
Oct 9, 2021 5.45pm
Emmen
0-1
SBV Excelsior

(86'), Hilterman (90+4')
Dallinga (32')
Aberkane (48'), Chacon (79'), Niemeijer (90+4')
Feb 17, 2019 1.30pm
SBV Excelsior
2-1
Emmen
Edwards (62'), Eckert (65')
De Leeuw (59')
Nov 25, 2018 11.15am
Emmen
1-2
SBV Excelsior
Jansen (47')
Chacon (59')
Messaoud (60'), Koolwijk (89')
Mattheij (86')