Eredivisie | Gameweek 9

Oct 9, 2022 at 1.30pm UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
1 - 2
AZ

Sylla (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

van Brederode (31'), Sugawara (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Excelsior 0-1 Utrecht
Sunday, October 2 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 3-2 Apollon Limassol
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 51.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-0 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
23.5% ( 0.16)	24.67% ( 0.02)	51.83% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 51.27% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.32% (

0.06)

50.67% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.42% (

0.05)

72.58% (

-0.05)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.71% (

0.17)

36.29% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.93% (

0.18)

73.07% (

-0.18)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.46% (

-0.05)

19.53% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.57% (

-0.08)

51.43% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 23.5%

AZ Alkmaar 51.83%

Draw 24.67%

FC Utrecht	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.84% Total : 23.5%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.67%	0-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.45% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 51.83%