Conference League
Oct 6, 2022 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jens Odgaard 16' goal
  • Dani de Wit 62' goal
  • Jesper Karlsson 85' goal
  • goal Patrick Joosten 19'
  • goal Euclides Cabral 71'

AZ Alkmaar vs Apollon Limassol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Sep 15, 2022 5.45pm
AZ 4 - 1 Vaduz

Apollon Limassol

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Sep 15, 2022 5.45pm
Apollon Limassol 1 - 3 Dnipro-1

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Apollon Limassol had a probability of 13.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.48%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.03%), while for an Apollon Limassol win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result

AZ Alkmaar 62.68% (-0.11)
Draw 24.22% (+0.04)
Apollon Limassol 13.09% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

35.47% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.83% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 62.16% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 18.14% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 81.86% (+0.01)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 80.21% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 19.79% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 48.15% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 51.84% (+0.07)

Apollon Limassol Goals

Over 0.5 44.22% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 55.77% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 11.66% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 88.34% (-0.06)

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 62.67%
Draw 24.22%
Apollon Limassol 13.09%
AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 17.87% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 14.48% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.46% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.82% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.17% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.33% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 62.67%
Draw
0-0 @ 11.03%
1-1 @ 10.44% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 2.47% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 24.22%
Apollon Limassol
0-1 @ 6.44% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 3.05% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.88% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 13.09%