Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Apollon Limassol win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Apollon Limassol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.