Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 4

Sep 11, 2022 at 11am UK

Dnipro Arena

Dnipro-1
3 - 0
Metalist Kharkiv

Adamyuk (62'), Dovbyk (66'), Gromov (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Dnipro-1 and Metalist Kharkiv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 57.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.

Result
Dnipro-1	Draw	Metalist Kharkiv
57.68% ( 0.5)	23.33% ( -0.14)	18.99% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 49.07% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.58% (

0.05)

50.42% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.65% (

0.05)

72.35% (

-0.05)

Dnipro-1 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.77% (

0.2)

17.23% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.47% (

0.35)

47.53% (

-0.35)

Metalist Kharkiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.29% (

-0.38)

40.71% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.7% (

-0.34)

77.3% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Dnipro-1 57.67%

Metalist Kharkiv 18.99%

Draw 23.33%

Dnipro-1	Draw	Metalist Kharkiv
1-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.69% Total : 57.67%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.33%	0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.07% Total : 18.99%