AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Groningen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Euroborg
AZ Alkmaar

Groningen
1 - 4
AZ

Pepi (42')
FT(HT: 1-2)
de Wit (3'), Karlsson (19'), Milos (62'), Lahdo (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions
Last Game: Sparta 2-1 Groningen
Saturday, September 17 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-1 Ajax
Sunday, September 18 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 17.96%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
GroningenDrawAZ Alkmaar
17.96% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)22.59% (0.0010000000000012 0)59.45% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Both teams to score 49.5% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.1% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)48.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.01% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)70.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.99% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)41.01% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)77.56% (0.0049999999999955 0)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.92% (0.0010000000000048 0)16.08% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.53%45.47% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Groningen 17.96%
    AZ Alkmaar 59.44%
    Draw 22.59%
GroningenDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 5.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 4.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 2.62%
3-1 @ 1.42%
3-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 17.96%
1-1 @ 10.74%
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 22.59%
0-1 @ 12.05%
0-2 @ 11.01%
1-2 @ 9.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 5.98%
0-4 @ 3.07%
1-4 @ 2.73%
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.22%
0-5 @ 1.12%
1-5 @ 1%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 59.44%

How you voted: Groningen vs AZ

Groningen
10.7%
Draw
7.1%
AZ Alkmaar
82.1%
28
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2021 8pm
AZ
1-0
Groningen
Karlsson (68')

Buijs (12'), de Leeuw (28'), Duarte (78'), Dammers (87')
Kasanwirjo (4')
Oct 24, 2021 7pm
Groningen
2-0
AZ
Ngonge (20'), De Leeuw (71')
Suslov (62')

Hatzidiakos (43'), Gudmundsson (65'), Reijnders (72')
May 13, 2021 1.30pm
Groningen
0-0
AZ

Itakura (68'), te Wierik (72'), van Hintum (80')

Svensson (70')
Dec 6, 2020 1.30pm
AZ
1-2
Groningen
Koopmeiners (21')
Midtsjo (8'), Martins Indi (78'), Stengs (90+2'), Koopmeiners (90+3'), Wijndal (90+3')
Midtsjo (57'), Martins Indi (85')
El Messaoudi (69', 74')
Joosten (79')
El Hankouri (90+3')
Mar 22, 2020 3.45pm
Groningen
P-P
AZ
rhs 2.0


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