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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Groningen | 6 | -4 | 8 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | RKC Waalwijk | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | NEC | 7 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 | Groningen | 6 | -4 | 8 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 0 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sparta Rotterdam.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Groningen |
| 44.23% ( | 25.43% ( | 30.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.86% ( | 49.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.79% ( | 71.2% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.82% ( | 22.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.42% ( | 55.58% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.97% ( | 30.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.85% ( | 66.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Groningen |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% ( 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 4-2 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 44.22% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 1-3 @ 2.91% ( 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0-3 @ 1.93% ( Other @ 3.22% Total : 30.34% |