Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sparta Rotterdam.