AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Go Ahead Eagles
Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Adelaarshorst
Sparta Rotterdam logo

Go Ahead Eagles
0 - 1
Sparta


Bakker (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lauritsen (18')
Kitolano (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Go Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Go Ahead EaglesDrawSparta Rotterdam
40.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)27.99% (-0.123 -0.12)31.12% (0.118 0.12)
Both teams to score 47% (0.395 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.15% (0.475 0.48)58.86% (-0.469 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.65% (0.368 0.37)79.36% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (0.232 0.23)28.26% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (0.292 0.29)63.97% (-0.288 -0.29)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52% (0.342 0.34)34.49% (-0.337 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.8% (0.359 0.36)71.2% (-0.35400000000001 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Go Ahead Eagles 40.89%
    Sparta Rotterdam 31.12%
    Draw 27.98%
Go Ahead EaglesDrawSparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 12.31% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.78% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.49% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.28% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 40.89%
1-1 @ 13.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.75% (-0.175 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.98%
0-1 @ 10.37% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 31.12%

How you voted: Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta

Go Ahead Eagles
35.5%
Draw
41.9%
Sparta Rotterdam
22.6%
31
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3.30pm
Aug 28, 2021 7pm
Go Ahead Eagles
2-0
Sparta
Bakker (6' pen.), Botos (60')
Lidberg (39')

Heylen (6'), van Crooij (11'), Abels (72')
Pinto (53')
Feb 24, 2019 1.30pm
Sparta
6-1
Go Ahead Eagles
Dervisoglu (6', 43', 59', 80'), Auassar (26'), Harroui (49')
Van der Venne (61')
Lelieveld (70'), Werkhoven (91')
Oct 5, 2018 7pm
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
Sparta
Veldmate (22'), Bliek (59')
Drenthe (60'), Veldwijk (91')
Wuytens (34')
May 14, 2017 1.30pm
Go Ahead Eagles
1-3
Sparta
Maatsen (71')
Duits (65'), Suk (79'), Chirivella (85'), Schenk (88')
Pusic (57', 80'), Goodwin (89')
Pusic (81')
rhs 2.0


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