Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 67.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 13.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.