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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Vitesse | 4 | -9 | 1 |
| 17 | Go Ahead Eagles | 4 | -7 | 0 |
| 18 | Fortuna Sittard | 5 | -9 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Ajax | 4 | 9 | 12 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 4 | 8 | 10 |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 4 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 70.54%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 11.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-0 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 11.83% ( | 17.62% ( | 70.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.46% ( | 39.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.12% ( | 61.88% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.21% ( | 43.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.05% ( | 79.95% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.98% ( | 10.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.94% ( | 33.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 1-0 @ 3.62% ( 2-1 @ 3.44% ( 2-0 @ 1.5% ( 3-2 @ 1.09% ( 3-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.24% Total : 11.83% | 1-1 @ 8.33% ( 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 2-2 @ 3.96% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 17.62% | 0-2 @ 11.61% ( 0-1 @ 10.09% ( 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0-3 @ 8.91% ( 1-3 @ 7.35% ( 0-4 @ 5.12% ( 1-4 @ 4.23% ( 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0-5 @ 2.36% ( 1-5 @ 1.95% ( 2-4 @ 1.75% ( 0-6 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 3.65% Total : 70.54% |