Eredivisie | Gameweek 7

Sep 18, 2022 at 3.45pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
2 - 1
Ajax

de Wit (40'), Odgaard (45+5')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Kudus (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

Last Six:

Last Game: AZ 4-1 Vaduz
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	PSV Eindhoven	6	17	15
4	AZ Alkmaar	6	7	14
5	FC Twente	6	8	13

Ajax

Last Six:

Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Ajax
Tuesday, September 13 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ajax	6	18	18
2	Feyenoord	6	12	16
3	PSV Eindhoven	6	17	15

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Ajax
26.96% ( -1)	22.2% ( -0.18)	50.84% ( 1.19)

Both teams to score 63.22% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.47% (

0.08)

36.53% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.32% (

0.09)

58.68% (

-0.09)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.07% (

-0.64)

25.93% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.07% (

-0.87)

60.93% (

0.87)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.36% (

0.43)

14.64% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.22% (

0.82)

42.78% (

-0.82)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 26.96%

Ajax 50.84%

Draw 22.2%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.33% Total : 26.96%	1-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.2%	1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 6.06% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.91% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.06) Other @ 4.31% Total : 50.84%