Champions League
Sep 13, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Anfield
  • Mohamed Salah 17' goal
  • Joel Matip 89' goal
  • goal Mohammed Kudus 27'

Liverpool vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 7, 2022 8.00pm
Napoli 4 - 1 Liverpool

Ajax

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 7, 2022 5.45pm
Ajax 4 - 0 Rangers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Ajax win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result

Liverpool 48.11% (+0.05)
Draw 24.54% (-0.04)
Ajax 27.34% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.37% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.97% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 47.03% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 30.72% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 69.27% (-0.15)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 80.39% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 19.61% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 48.44% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 51.56% (-0.14)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 68.88% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 31.12% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 32.56% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 67.44% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Liverpool 48.11%
Draw 24.54%
Ajax 27.34%
Liverpool
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.45% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.1% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.13% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.4% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.09% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.79% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 48.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.1% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.52% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.54%
Ajax
0-1 @ 7.12% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.77%
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.64% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 27.34%

Head to Head

Champions League
Dec 1, 2020 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Anfield
  • Curtis Jones 58' goal
  • Georginio Wijnaldum 70' yellowcard
  • Jordan Henderson 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Sadio Mane 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Perr Schuurs 42'
  • yellowcard Daley Blind 55'
Champions League
Oct 21, 2020 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Quincy Promes 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolas Tagliafico 35' (OG)
  • yellowcard James Milner 38'
  • yellowcard Trent Alexander-Arnold 80'

Build-up

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